AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16

UFC Fight Night: Keiichiro Nakamura vs. Ollie Schmid (Featherweight, Prelims) Odds

This market has resolved: Fight to Go the Distance?. Final prices are below.

Polymarket Volume $228K Ended Nov 8, 2026 Updated Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Keiichiro Nakamura vs. Ollie Schmid
0% — ▼ 75
Fight to Go the Distance? ✓
100% — ▲ 73
Fight won by KO/TKO?
0% — ▼ 59
Nakamura to win by KO/TKO?
0% — ▼ 55
Schmid to win by KO/TKO?
0% — ▼ 28
Fight won by submission?
0% — ▼ 25
O/U 0.5 Rounds
100% — ▲ 32
O/U 1.5 Rounds
100% — ▲ 47
O/U 2.5 Rounds
100% — ▲ 57
Fight won by decision? ✓
100% — ▲ 55
Ends before Round 2?
0% — ▼ 36
Ends before Round 3?
0% — ▼ 49
Nakamura in Round 1
0% — ▼ 38
Nakamura in Round 2
0% — ▼ 22
Nakamura in Round 3
0% — ▼ 18
Schmid in Round 1
0% — ▼ 16
Schmid in Round 2
0% — ▼ 16
Schmid in Round 3
0% — ▼ 16
Decision or Draw ✓
100% — ▲ 62

Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Oct 25 Nov 8
Keiichiro Nakamura vs. Ollie Schmid

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Keiichiro Nakamura" if Keiichiro Nakamura is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ollie Schmid at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Ollie Schmid" if Ollie Schmid is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Polymarket lists Nov 8, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.

Where can I trade on UFC Fight Night: Keiichiro Nakamura vs. Ollie Schmid (Featherweight, Prelims)?

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