UFC Fight Night: Aleksandre Topuria vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card) Odds
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aleksandre Topuria vs. Santiago Luna | 67% | -203 | ▲ 1 |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 50% | -100 | — |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 50% | -100 | — |
| Topuria to win by KO/TKO? | 50% | -100 | — |
| Luna to win by KO/TKO? | 50% | -100 | — |
| Fight won by submission? | 50% | -100 | — |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 57% | -133 | ▲ 7 |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 50% | -100 | — |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 50% | -100 | — |
| Fight won by decision? | 50% | -100 | — |
| Ends before Round 2? | 50% | -100 | — |
| Ends before Round 3? | 50% | -100 | — |
| Topuria in Round 1 | 50% | -100 | — |
| Topuria in Round 2 | 50% | -100 | — |
| Topuria in Round 3 | 50% | -100 | — |
| Luna in Round 1 | 50% | -100 | — |
| Luna in Round 2 | 50% | -100 | — |
| Luna in Round 3 | 50% | -100 | — |
| Decision or Draw | 50% | -100 | — |
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Price history
On Kalshi
A similar market trades on Kalshi. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Aleksandre Topuria" if Aleksandre Topuria is officially declared the winner of the fight against Santiago Luna at UFC Fight Night: Procházka vs. Stirling, scheduled for November 21, 2026. It will resolve to "Santiago Luna" if Santiago Luna is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond December 5, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 22, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on UFC Fight Night: Aleksandre Topuria vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)?
This market trades on Polymarket and a matching market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.