Fight Night: Aleksandre Topuria vs Santiago Luna Odds · Topuria vs Luna (Nov 21)
Kalshi traders give Aleksandre Topuria a 69% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aleksandre Topuria | 69% | -223 | ▲ 70 |
| Santiago Luna | 31% | +228 | ▲ 32 |
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Price history
On Polymarket
A similar market trades on Polymarket. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
If Aleksandre Topuria wins the Aleksandre Topuria vs Santiago Luna professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Nov 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Fight Night: Aleksandre Topuria vs Santiago Luna?
As of Nov 15, 10:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Aleksandre Topuria at 69%, about -223 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 21, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Fight Night: Aleksandre Topuria vs Santiago Luna?
This market trades on Kalshi and a matching market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.