UEFA EURO 2028: Winner Odds
Polymarket traders give Spain a 23% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | 23% | +344 | — |
| France | 19% | +441 | — |
| England | 17% | +506 | — |
| Germany | 11% | +852 | — |
| Portugal | 9% | +1076 | — |
| Norway | 6% | +1500 | ▲ 1 |
| Georgia | 6% | +1718 | ▲ 4 |
| Belgium | 4% | +2173 | — |
| Finland | 4% | +2369 | — |
| Netherlands | 4% | +2400 | — |
| Italy | 3% | +2841 | — |
| Kosovo | 3% | +3179 | — |
| Poland | 3% | +3348 | ▲ 2 |
| Armenia | 3% | +3822 | — |
| Faroe Islands | 2% | +3982 | — |
| Austria | 2% | +4445 | — |
| Iceland | 2% | +4551 | — |
| Moldova | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Liechtenstein | 2% | +5028 | — |
| Switzerland | 2% | +5305 | — |
| Croatia | 2% | +5456 | — |
| Latvia | 2% | +5614 | — |
| Turkey | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Lithuania | 1% | +6797 | — |
| Cyprus | 1% | +7592 | — |
| Greece | 1% | +8233 | — |
| San Marino | 1% | +8233 | — |
| Denmark | <1% | +10426 | — |
| Romania | <1% | +10426 | — |
| Slovenia | <1% | +10426 | — |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | <1% | +13233 | — |
| North Macedonia | <1% | +14186 | — |
| Sweden | <1% | +15285 | — |
| Bulgaria | <1% | +16567 | — |
| Kazakhstan | <1% | +22122 | — |
| Serbia | <1% | +22122 | — |
| Estonia | <1% | +39900 | — |
| Gibraltar | <1% | +39900 | — |
| Hungary | <1% | +39900 | — |
| Malta | <1% | +39900 | — |
Showing the top 40 of 55 outcomes.
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the nation that wins the UEFA EURO 2028. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in UEFA EURO 2028: Winner?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Spain at 23%, about +344 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jul 24, 2028 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on UEFA EURO 2028: Winner?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.