Top AI model this month Odds · On Nov 30, 2026
Kalshi traders give Gemini 4 Carbon (High) a 76% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini 4 Carbon (High) | 76% | -308 | ▲ 4 |
| gemini-4-argon-high | 8% | +1150 | ▲ 7 |
| claude-opus-5.5-high | 2% | +4900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If claude-opus-5.5-high is the top-ranked AI model on Nov 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Top AI model this month?
As of Nov 11, 5:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Gemini 4 Carbon (High) at 76%, about -308 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 30, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Top AI model this month?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.