The Progress Group 250 Winner Odds · The Progress Group 250 ('26)
This market has resolved: Sammy Smith. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sammy Smith ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Harrison Burton | 4% | +2400 | — |
| Jeremy Clements | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Jeb Burton | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Dean Thompson | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Connor Mosack | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Lee Pulliam | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Justin Allgaier | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Ryan Sieg | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Joey Gase | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Ryan Ellis | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Brandon Jones | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Austin Hill | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Brennan Poole | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Garrett Smithley | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Sheldon Creed | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Josh Bilicki | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Patrick Emerling | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Caesar Bacarella | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Sam Mayer | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Will Rodgers | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Carson Ware | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Blaine Perkins | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Kyle Sieg | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Taylor Gray | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Rajah Caruth | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Nick Leitz | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Leland Honeyman Jr | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Daniel Dye | 1% | +9900 | — |
| William Sawalich | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Jesse Love | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Carson Kvapil | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Corey Day | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Brent Crews | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Patrick Staropoli | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Lavar Scott | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Jake Finch | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Josh Williams | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Anthony Alfredo | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Parker Retzlaff | 1% | +9900 | — |
Showing the top 40 of 41 outcomes.
Price history
Resolution rules
If Jeremy Clements finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 at the 2026 The Progress Group 250, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Oct 25, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on The Progress Group 250 Winner?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.