Temperature in New York City on Nov 8, 2026 at 8am EST Odds · On Nov 8, 2026 at 8am EST
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44° or above | >99% | -19900 | — |
| 45° or above | >99% | -19900 | — |
| 46° or above | >99% | -19900 | — |
| 47° or above | >99% | -19900 | — |
| 48° or above | >99% | -19900 | ▲ 99 |
| 49° or above | >99% | -19900 | — |
| 50° or above | >99% | -19900 | ▲ 99 |
| 51° or above | 99% | -6567 | ▲ 99 |
| 52° or above | 93% | -1233 | ▲ 91 |
| 53° or above | 47% | +115 | ▲ 48 |
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Resolution rules
If the temperature recorded at New York City for Nov 8, 2026 at 8 AM EST as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 43.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 8, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Temperature in New York City on Nov 8, 2026 at 8am EST?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.