Supreme Court sides with Apple in Epic Games appeal Odds
Polymarket traders give “Yes” a 83% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 83% | -488 | — |
| No | 17% | +488 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Supreme Court, in Apple Inc. v. Epic Games, Inc. (No. 25-1311), issues a decision on the merits that reverses or vacates, in whole or in part, the Ninth Circuit’s judgment under review (its affirmance of the district court’s 2025 contempt ruling against Apple and the accompanying modifications to the injunction on App Store anti-steering rules and developer fees), by August 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a decision on the merits of this case (a written opinion, summary disposition, or per curiam opinion) will qualify. Emergency orders, stays, and other interim orders will not qualify. A decision that vacates the Ninth Circuit’s judgment and remands for further proceedings will resolve this market to “Yes”. A decision that affirms the Ninth Circuit’s judgment in full will resolve this market to “No”. If the case is dismissed as improvidently granted, dismissed for mootness, withdrawn or settled (including by a settlement between Apple and Epic Games), or otherwise concluded without a decision on the merits, or no qualifying decision has been issued by August 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”, regardless of whether the case remains pending. This market will resolve based on the Supreme Court’s decision in this case. Other related cases or legislation will not affect resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
What are the odds of "Supreme Court sides with Apple in Epic Games appeal"?
As of Nov 15, 10:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Yes at 83%, about -488 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Aug 2, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Supreme Court sides with Apple in Epic Games appeal?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.