Soccer Retirements before Jul 1, 2027 Odds · Before Jul 1, 2027
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lionel Messi | 5% | +2122 | — |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | 48% | +108 | — |
| Neymar | 8% | +1233 | — |
| Manuel Neuer | 49% | +104 | — |
| Luka Modrić | 35% | +190 | — |
| Marco Reus | 15% | +567 | — |
| Luis Suárez | 27% | +270 | ▲ 27 |
| Sergio Ramos | 31% | +228 | — |
| Thiago Silva | 41% | +147 | — |
| Riyad Mahrez | 10% | +953 | — |
| Ángel Di María | 30% | +233 | — |
| Olivier Giroud | 65% | -186 | — |
| Kyle Walker | 15% | +590 | — |
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Resolution rules
If Lionel Messi announces his retirement from soccer (must retire from all professional play including domestic and international) before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jul 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Soccer Retirements before Jul 1, 2027?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.