AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16

Pro Football Passing Touchdowns Leader Odds · 2026-2027 Regular Season

Kalshi traders give Joe Burrow a 42% chance.

Kalshi Volume $9.3K 24h $92 Ends Feb 1, 2027 Updated Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Joe Burrow
42% +138 ▼ 46
Trevor Lawrence
15% +567 —
Jared Goff
12% +770 ▼ 2
Jordan Love
6% +1718 ▲ 1
Matthew Stafford
5% +1900 ▼ 4
Kirk Cousins
5% +2122 ▼ 12
Dak Prescott
2% +6567 —
Caleb Williams
2% +6567 —
Josh Allen
2% +6567 —
Patrick Mahomes
2% +6567 —
Aaron Rodgers
2% +6567 —
C.J. Stroud
2% +6567 —
Drake Maye
1% +9900 —
Jacoby Brissett
1% +9900 —
Bryce Young
1% +9900 —
Lamar Jackson
1% +9900 —
Tyler Shough
1% +9900 —
Brock Purdy
1% +9900 ▼ 3
Jayden Daniels
1% +9900 —
Sam Darnold
<1% +19900 —
Bo Nix
<1% +19900 —
Justin Herbert
<1% +19900 —
Baker Mayfield
<1% +19900 —
Jalen Hurts
<1% +19900 —
Cam Ward
<1% +19900 —
Daniel Jones
<1% +19900 —
Geno Smith
<1% +19900 —
Shedeur Sanders
<1% +19900 —
Malik Willis
<1% +19900 —

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Oct 17 Nov 8
Joe BurrowTrevor LawrenceJared GoffJordan Love

On Polymarket

The same question also trades on Polymarket. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.

Pro Football: C.J. Stroud 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns
16.5+ passing TDs89% ▲ 1
19.5+ passing TDs73% ▼ 0
22.5+ passing TDs63%
25.5+ passing TDs46% ▲ 8
Polymarket $298 24h · $7.8K vol

Resolution rules

If Matthew Stafford leads Pro Football in Passing Touchdowns for the 2026-2027 Regular Season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

Who is favored in Pro Football Passing Touchdowns Leader?

As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Joe Burrow at 42%, about +138 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Feb 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on Pro Football Passing Touchdowns Leader?

This market trades on Kalshi and a matching market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.