AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 92% ▲ 39College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Zimbabwe 3% ▼ 29Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 77% ▲ 24Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 83% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 78% ▲ 20Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 20Next Israeli government # of seats: <58 72% ▲ 20NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Iran … 75% ▼ 17ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 77% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 37% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 46% ▼ 15AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 92% ▲ 39College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Zimbabwe 3% ▼ 29Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 77% ▲ 24Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 83% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 78% ▲ 20Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 20Next Israeli government # of seats: <58 72% ▲ 20NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Iran … 75% ▼ 17ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 77% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 37% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 46% ▼ 15

Pro Football: First QB to 2,000 Passing Yards Odds

This market has resolved: Jordan Love. Final prices are below.

Polymarket Volume $41.6K Ended Jan 27, 2027 Updated Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Jared Goff
0% — ▼ 2
Dak Prescott
0% — ▼ 1
Joe Burrow
0% — ▼ 1
Matthew Stafford
0% — —
Brock Purdy
0% — ▼ 1
Drake Maye
0% — —
Trevor Lawrence
0% — —
Sam Darnold
0% — —
Tyler Shough
0% — ▼ 1
Caleb Williams
0% — ▼ 1
C.J. Stroud
0% — —
Justin Herbert
0% — —
Josh Allen
0% — ▼ 2
Jordan Love ✓
100% — ▲ 2
Bo Nix
0% — ▼ 1
Cameron Ward
0% — —
Jalen Hurts
0% — —
Jayden Daniels
0% — ▼ 1
Lamar Jackson
0% — ▼ 2
Jaxson Dart
0% — —
Bryce Young
0% — ▼ 26
Malik Willis
0% — —
Fernando Mendoza
0% — —
Patrick Mahomes
0% — ▼ 2
Baker Mayfield
0% — —
Geno Smith
0% — ▼ 2
Deshaun Watson
0% — —
Aaron Rodgers
0% — ▼ 1
Daniel Jones
0% — —
Kirk Cousins
0% — —
Kyler Murray
0% — —
Michael Penix Jr.
0% — —
Jacoby Brissett
0% — ▼ 0

Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Oct 16 Oct 30
Jared Goff

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is the first quarterback to reach 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". A player reaches 2,000 passing yards at the moment his cumulative 2026-27 NFL regular season passing yards total equals or exceeds 2,000. Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. If two or more quarterbacks reach 2,000 passing yards within the same game, or in separate games that have the same scheduled kickoff time, the market for each such player who reaches the mark will resolve to "Yes". If the listed player does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined which quarterback first reached 2,000 passing yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Polymarket lists Jan 27, 2027 as the end date; this market has closed.

Where can I trade on Pro Football: First QB to 2,000 Passing Yards?

This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.