AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16

Pro Football: 25+ Passing Touchdowns Season Odds · 25+ Passing Touchdowns

Kalshi Volume $6.4K 24h $12 Ends Jan 31, 2027 Updated Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Joe Burrow
93% -1329 —
Lamar Jackson
48% +108 —
Patrick Mahomes
65% -186 —
Josh Allen
73% -270 —
Jared Goff
98% -4900 —
Baker Mayfield
45% +122 —
Justin Herbert
84% -525 ▲ 67
Drake Maye
70% -233 —
Brock Purdy
84% -525 —
Dak Prescott
70% -233 —
Jalen Hurts
1% +9900 —
Jayden Daniels
14% +614 —
Jordan Love
87% -669 —
Bo Nix
23% +335 —
Caleb Williams
29% +245 —
Matthew Stafford
76% -317 —
Trevor Lawrence
87% -669 —
Jaxson Dart
8% +1150 —
Sam Darnold
85% -567 —
Tua Tagovailoa
0% — —
C.J. Stroud
0% — —
Cam Ward
18% +456 —
Kyler Murray
32% +212 —
Bryce Young
76% -317 —
Jacoby Brissett
19% +426 —
Shedeur Sanders
9% +1011 —
Fernando Mendoza
0% — —
Malik Willis
22% +355 —
Tyler Shough
52% -108 —
Geno Smith
32% +212 ▼ 53
Aaron Rodgers
60% -150 —
Daniel Jones
0% — —

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Oct 23 Nov 6
Joe Burrow

Resolution rules

If Joe Burrow records 25+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Jan 31, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on Pro Football: 25+ Passing Touchdowns Season?

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