AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16

Pro Football: 2026-27 QBR Leader Odds

Polymarket traders give Josh Allen a 50% chance.

Polymarket Volume $13.9K 24h $7 Liquidity $11.5K Ends Jan 27, 2027 Updated Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Josh Allen
50% +101 —
Caleb Williams
50% +101 —
Sam Darnold
50% +101 ▲ 46
Bryce Young
47% +115 ▼ 3
Brock Purdy
46% +117 ▼ 3
Lamar Jackson
46% +120 ▼ 2
Patrick Mahomes
38% +166 —
Jared Goff
28% +251 ▲ 1
Joe Burrow
26% +291 ▲ 2
Cam Ward
11% +793 —
Deshaun Watson
7% +1404 ▼ 1
Justin Herbert
7% +1427 ▼ 1
Jalen Hurts
7% +1427 ▼ 1
Jordan Love
6% +1595 —
Fernando Mendoza
6% +1670 ▼ 1
Dak Prescott
5% +1900 —
Matthew Stafford
5% +1900 —
Jaxson Dart
3% +3025 —
Kirk Cousins
3% +3025 —
JJ McCarthy
3% +3025 —
Tyler Shough
3% +3025 —
Malik Willis
3% +3126 ▼ 1
Aaron Rodgers
3% +3126 —
Drake Maye
3% +3233 ▼ 7
Carson Beck
3% +3348 ▼ 1
Geno Smith
3% +3822 ▼ 4
Shedeur Sanders
2% +4067 ▼ 1
Bo Nix
2% +4344 —
Daniel Jones
2% +4551 —
C.J. Stroud
1% +7307 ▼ 2
Jayden Daniels
1% +7307 ▼ 3
Trevor Lawrence
1% +7900 —
Michael Penix Jr.
1% +9424 ▼ 2
Kyler Murray
<1% +33233 ▼ 3
OtherNFL Team Statistical Leaders
<1% +33233 ▼ 3
Jacoby Brissett
<1% +39900 —

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Oct 18 Nov 8
Josh AllenCaleb WilliamsSam DarnoldBryce Young

Resolution rules

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most Total QBR (ESPN's Total Quarterback Rating) among qualified players. To qualify, a player must meet ESPN's minimum threshold for Total QBR leaderboard eligibility. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more qualifying dropbacks during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher traditional passer rating during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available Total QBR data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in Total QBR among qualified players within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from ESPN; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

Who is favored in Pro Football: 2026-27 QBR Leader?

As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Josh Allen at 50%, about +101 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Polymarket lists Jan 27, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on Pro Football: 2026-27 QBR Leader?

This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.