Pro Football: 2026-27 Passing Touchdowns Leader Odds
Polymarket traders give Joe Burrow a 49% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Burrow | 49% | +106 | ▼ 4 |
| Lamar Jackson | 30% | +228 | ▲ 18 |
| Trevor Lawrence | 15% | +571 | ▲ 2 |
| Jared Goff | 12% | +733 | — |
| Matthew Stafford | 10% | +953 | — |
| Josh Allen | 6% | +1539 | ▲ 3 |
| Brock Purdy | 6% | +1581 | ▼ 2 |
| Jayden Daniels | 5% | +1752 | ▲ 1 |
| Aaron Rodgers | 5% | +1805 | — |
| Jordan Love | 5% | +1842 | — |
| Jalen Hurts | 5% | +1920 | — |
| Dak Prescott | 5% | +2122 | ▲ 1 |
| Kirk Cousins | 4% | +2281 | — |
| Drake Maye | 4% | +2532 | — |
| Bryce Young | 4% | +2603 | — |
| Kyler Murray | 4% | +2678 | — |
| Patrick Mahomes | 3% | +2885 | — |
| Tyler Shough | 3% | +3025 | — |
| C.J. Stroud | 3% | +3126 | — |
| Justin Herbert | 3% | +3179 | ▼ 8 |
| Jaxson Dart | 3% | +3233 | — |
| JJ McCarthy | 3% | +3746 | — |
| Caleb Williams | 2% | +4445 | — |
| Sam Darnold | 2% | +4662 | — |
| Bo Nix | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Michael Penix Jr. | 1% | +6797 | — |
| Daniel Jones | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Jacoby Brissett | <1% | +10426 | — |
| Malik Willis | <1% | +39900 | — |
| Geno Smith | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Shedeur Sanders | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Deshaun Watson | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Cam Ward | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Fernando Mendoza | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Carson Beck | <1% | +199900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher completion percentage during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Pro Football: 2026-27 Passing Touchdowns Leader?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Joe Burrow at 49%, about +106 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 27, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Pro Football: 2026-27 Passing Touchdowns Leader?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.