AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16

Pro Football: 20+ Passing Touchdowns Season Odds · 20+ Passing Touchdowns

Kalshi Volume $7.1K 24h $5 Ends Jan 31, 2027 Updated Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Joe Burrow ✓
98% -4900 —
Lamar Jackson
6% +1567 —
Patrick Mahomes
71% -245 —
Josh Allen
85% -567 —
Jared Goff
94% -1438 —
Baker Mayfield
85% -567 —
Justin Herbert
2% +4900 —
Drake Maye
92% -1150 —
Brock Purdy
97% -3233 —
Dak Prescott
96% -2400 —
Jalen Hurts
1% +9900 —
Jayden Daniels
28% +257 —
Jordan Love
94% -1567 —
Bo Nix
0% — —
Caleb Williams
57% -133 —
Matthew Stafford
85% -567 —
Trevor Lawrence
82% -456 —
Jaxson Dart
1% +9900 —
Sam Darnold
0% — —
Tua Tagovailoa
0% — —
C.J. Stroud
63% -170 —
Cam Ward
82% -456 —
Kyler Murray
82% -456 —
Bryce Young
97% -3233 —
Jacoby Brissett
85% -567 —
Shedeur Sanders
83% -488 —
Fernando Mendoza
1% +9900 —
Malik Willis
15% +567 —
Tyler Shough
81% -413 —
Geno Smith
80% -400 —
Aaron Rodgers
78% -355 ▼ 4
Daniel Jones
57% -133 —
Kirk Cousins
85% -567 —

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Oct 25 Nov 1
Joe Burrow

Resolution rules

If Joe Burrow records 20+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Jan 31, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on Pro Football: 20+ Passing Touchdowns Season?

This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.