AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16

Outland Trophy Winner Odds · Outland Trophy (2026)

Kalshi traders give Iapani Laloulu a 90% chance.

Kalshi Volume $7.0K 24h $0 Ends Dec 31, 2026 Updated Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Iapani Laloulu
90% -900 —
Tristan Bounds
88% -733 —
Shadre Hurst
86% -614 —
Anthonie Knapp
85% -567 —
Guerby Lambert
77% -335 —
Jordan Seaton
43% +133 —
Bear Alexander
42% +138 —
Cole Best
42% +138 —
Drew Bobo
42% +138 —
Canon Boone
42% +138 —
Brandon Baker
42% +138 —
Carson Hinzman
42% +138 —
A.J. Holmes Jr.
42% +138 —
Howard Sampson
42% +138 —
Brady Small
41% +144 —
A'Mauri Washington
41% +144 —
Braelin Moore
41% +144 —
Jimmy Liston
40% +150 —
PJ Williams
40% +150 —
Jake Renfro
40% +150 —
Landen Livingston
40% +150 —
Lyndon Cooper
40% +150 —
Ahmad Moten Sr.
38% +163 —
Alani Noa
38% +163 —
Sheridan Wilson
38% +163 —
Bruce Mitchell
37% +170 —
Carter Smith
37% +170 —
Luke Montgomery
35% +186 —
Jake Maikkula
35% +186 —
Kade Pieper
34% +194 —
Landen Hatchett
34% +194 —
Keanu Tanuvasa
33% +203 —
Trevor Goosby
22% +355 —
Cayden Green
9% +1011 —
Ashton Beers
4% +2400 —
Coleton Price
4% +2400 —
Anthony Boswell
2% +4900 —
Matthew McCoy
1% +9900 —
Austin Siereveld
1% +9900 —
Tyrique Tucker
1% +9900 —

Showing the top 40 of 49 outcomes.

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Resolution rules

If Bear Alexander wins the Outland Trophy in the 2026 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

Who is favored in Outland Trophy Winner?

As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Iapani Laloulu at 90%, about -900 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Dec 31, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on Outland Trophy Winner?

This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.