Number of tornadoes in Oct 2026 Odds · In Oct 2026
This market has resolved. Final prices are below.
Kalshi Volume $27.2K Ended Nov 1, 2026 Updated Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 25 | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Above 50 | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Above 75 | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Above 100 | 11% | +809 | ▲ 10 |
| Above 125 | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Above 150 | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Above 175 | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Above 200 | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Above 225 | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Above 250 | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Above 275 | 1% | +9900 | — |
Price history
Resolution rules
If the preliminary number of tornadoes in Oct is above 25 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 1, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on Number of tornadoes in Oct 2026?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.