AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16

NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner Odds

Polymarket traders give Connor McDavid a 76% chance (Kalshi: 73%).

Polymarket Volume $55.8K 24h $312 Liquidity $93.3K Ends Jul 1, 2027 Updated Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h Kalshi
Connor McDavid
76% -308 ▲ 2 73%
Kirill Kaprizov
8% +1225 — 14%
Macklin Celebrini
5% +2122 ▼ 0 7%
Nathan MacKinnon
2% +3982 ▼ 1 5%
Jack Eichel
2% +5028 — 1%
Jack Hughes
2% +5163 — 1%
Auston Matthews
2% +6567 — 3%
Leon Draisaitl
1% +7043 ▲ 1 2%
Jake Oettinger
1% +7592 — —
Cutter Gauthier
1% +8233 — —
Filip Gustavsson
1% +8596 ▲ 1 —
Kyle Connor
1% +8596 — <1%
Filip Forsberg
1% +8991 — —
Igor Shesterkin
1% +8991 ▲ 1 <1%
Ivan Demidov
1% +8991 ▲ 1 —
Jacob Markstrom
1% +8991 ▲ 1 —
Jake Guentzel
1% +8991 — —
Sidney Crosby
1% +8991 ▲ 1 <1%
Wyatt Johnston
1% +8991 — —
Darcy Kuemper
1% +9424 ▲ 1 —
Elias Lindholm
1% +9424 ▲ 1 —
John-Jason Peterka
1% +9424 ▲ 1 —
Juraj Slafkovsky
1% +9424 ▲ 1 —
Mathew Barzal
1% +9424 — —
Matt Duchene
1% +9424 ▲ 1 —
Patrik Laine
1% +9424 ▲ 1 —
Timo Meier
1% +9424 ▲ 1 —
Adam Fox
1% +9900 ▲ 1 —
Andrei Vasilevskiy
1% +9900 ▲ 1 <1%
Artemi Panarin
1% +9900 — <1%
Brad Marchand
1% +9900 — —
Brock Boeser
1% +9900 — —
Cale Makar
1% +9900 ▲ 1 <1%
Dylan Larkin
1% +9900 ▲ 1 —
Elias Pettersson
1% +9900 — —
Jordan Binnington
1% +9900 ▲ 1 —
Matthew Tkachuk
1% +9900 ▲ 1 1%
Mika Zibanejad
1% +9900 ▲ 1 —
Miro Heiskanen
1% +9900 ▲ 1 —
Travis Konecny
1% +9900 ▲ 1 —

Showing the top 40 of 118 outcomes.

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Oct 18 Nov 8
Connor McDavidKirill KaprizovMacklin CelebriniNathan MacKinnon

On Kalshi

The same question also trades on Kalshi. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.

NHL Hart Memorial Trophy · 2026-27 NHL season
Connor McDavid73% ▲ 6
Kirill Kaprizov14% —
Macklin Celebrini7% ▼ 3
Nathan MacKinnon5% —
Kalshi $181 24h · $10.3K vol

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Hart Memorial Trophy for the 2026-27 NHL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NHL season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

Who is favored in NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner?

As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Connor McDavid at 76%, about -308 in American odds. On Kalshi the same outcome trades at 73%. Prices move with every trade.

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Polymarket lists Jul 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner?

This market trades on Polymarket and a matching market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.