New York City Marathon Men's Open Division Winner Odds · New York City - Nov 1, 2026
This market has resolved: Andreas Almgren. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Almgren ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 67 |
| Edward Cheserek | 64% | -178 | ▲ 58 |
| Robert Miranda | 35% | +186 | — |
| JP Flavin | 28% | +257 | — |
| Alec Baldwin | 20% | +400 | ▲ 18 |
| Jared Ward | 18% | +456 | — |
| Andrew Colley | 18% | +456 | — |
| Owen Ritz | 18% | +456 | — |
| James Nipperess | 15% | +567 | ▲ 14 |
| Deresa Geleta | 4% | +2400 | ▼ 3 |
| Ryan Cutter | 4% | +2400 | ▲ 3 |
| Aidan Troutner | 3% | +3233 | — |
| JP Trojan | 3% | +3233 | — |
| Mo Bati | 3% | +3233 | — |
| Aidan Reed | 3% | +3233 | — |
| Peter Lynch | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Patrick Dever | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Haftu Strintzos | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Kamohelo Mofolo | 2% | +4900 | ▲ 1 |
| Merga Gemeda | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Benson Kipruto | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 30 |
| CyBrian Kotut | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 1 |
| Zouhair Talbi | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 2 |
| Abdi Nageeye | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Geoffrey Kamworor | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Iliass Aouani | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Huseydin Mohamed Esa | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Conner Mantz | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 3 |
| Kengo Suzuki | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 2 |
| Yemaneberhan Crippa | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 18 |
| Ryota Kondo | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 6 |
| Ryan Ford | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 1 |
| Joe Klecker | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 3 |
| Jack Rowe | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Casey Clinger | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Sam Chelanga | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Turner Wiley | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Joel Reichow | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Paul Chelimo | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Stephen Jones | 1% | +9900 | — |
Showing the top 40 of 42 outcomes.
Price history
Resolution rules
If Benson Kipruto wins the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon Men's Open Division, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 2, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on New York City Marathon Men's Open Division Winner?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.