NCAA Tournament 2027: Team to advance to the Final Four Odds
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama | 7% | +1438 | — |
| Arkansas | 11% | +852 | — |
| Arizona | 14% | +590 | — |
| Auburn | 7% | +1329 | — |
| Baylor | 7% | +1438 | ▼ 1 |
| Boise State | 4% | +2717 | — |
| Boston College | <1% | +11011 | ▼ 0 |
| Butler | 3% | +3822 | — |
| BYU | 4% | +2173 | ▼ 1 |
| Cincinnati | 3% | +3179 | — |
| Clemson | 5% | +1769 | — |
| Colorado State | 3% | +2930 | — |
| Creighton | 4% | +2432 | — |
| Dayton | 3% | +3822 | — |
| Duke | 35% | +186 | ▼ 7 |
| Florida | 36% | +182 | — |
| Florida State | 3% | +3126 | — |
| Georgetown | 7% | +1329 | — |
| Gonzaga | 12% | +726 | — |
| Houston | 13% | +700 | — |
| Illinois | 21% | +376 | — |
| Indiana | 5% | +1752 | — |
| Iowa | 4% | +2757 | — |
| Iowa State | 6% | +1718 | ▼ 1 |
| Kansas | 18% | +456 | — |
| Louisville | 13% | +684 | ▼ 1 |
| Loyola Chicago | 3% | +3746 | — |
| LSU | 53% | -111 | — |
| Marquette | 4% | +2757 | — |
| Miami | 10% | +871 | — |
| Michigan | 8% | +1233 | ▼ 0 |
| Ole Miss | 4% | +2226 | — |
| Missouri | 7% | +1318 | — |
| Memphis | 4% | +2310 | — |
| Mississippi State | 3% | +3746 | — |
| Michigan State | 14% | +590 | ▼ 0 |
| North Carolina | 11% | +805 | ▼ 1 |
| NC State | 4% | +2678 | — |
| Notre Dame | 3% | +3746 | — |
| Nebraska | 10% | +953 | — |
Showing the top 40 of 73 outcomes.
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team qualifies for the Final Four (national semifinals) of the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Final Four (e.g., it is eliminated or not selected for the tournament), this market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament is cancelled, or the Final Four teams are not determined by April 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Mar 29, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on NCAA Tournament 2027: Team to advance to the Final Four?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.