AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16

NCAA Football: Team to Make National Championship Odds

Polymarket Volume $69.6K 24h $568 Liquidity $53.4K Ends Feb 9, 2027 Updated Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Notre Dame
31% +223 ▲ 2
Ohio St.
3% +3900 ▼ 10
Oregon
4% +2339 ▼ 1
Miami (FL)
22% +365 ▲ 1
Indiana
17% +506 ▲ 3
Georgia
45% +122 ▲ 10
Texas Tech
5% +1962 —
Texas
17% +506 —
Alabama
17% +488 ▲ 5
LSU
11% +809 ▼ 5
Ole Miss
4% +2147 ▼ 7
Oklahoma
3% +3179 —
Texas A&M
4% +2226 —
USC
3% +3179 —
BYU
4% +2603 ▼ 35
Penn St.
3% +3746 —
Tennessee
2% +5782 —
Florida
6% +1567 —
SMU
6% +1567 —
Michigan
5% +2098 —
James Madison
3% +3822 —
Utah
13% +663 —
Washington
3% +2799 —
Missouri
6% +1567 —
Clemson
2% +6567 —
Louisville
4% +2532 —
Auburn
4% +2310 ▲ 1
Iowa
4% +2497 —
South Carolina
3% +3233 —
California
2% +4662 —
Kansas St.
3% +2930 —
Houston
5% +1962 —
Oklahoma St.
4% +2532 —
Virginia Tech
3% +2841 —
Miami (OH)
2% +4248 —
TCU
3% +2885 ▼ 1
Virginia
3% +3536 —
Illinois
3% +3025 —
Pittsburgh
4% +2678 —
Arizona St.
2% +3982 —

Showing the top 40 of 50 outcomes.

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Oct 16 Nov 8
Notre Dame

Resolution rules

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team plays in the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". The "2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game" refers to the title game concluding the College Football Playoff for the 2026 college football season, scheduled to be played in January 2027. A team counts as making the game if it is one of the two teams that competes in it. If the College Football Playoff National Championship Game is canceled or not played by February 8, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the College Football Playoff (https://collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Polymarket lists Feb 9, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on NCAA Football: Team to Make National Championship?

This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.