AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16

NCAA Football: CFB Playoff Top 4 Seeds Odds

Polymarket Volume $71.0K 24h $532 Liquidity $33.8K Ends Dec 21, 2026 Updated Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Georgia
67% -203 ▲ 20
Indiana
46% +117 —
Texas
14% +590 ▼ 30
Ole Miss
7% +1438 ▼ 1
Alabama
17% +506 ▼ 35
Arizona
6% +1639 ▼ 1
Arkansas
3% +3179 —
Arizona St.
4% +2532 —
Auburn
3% +3536 —
Baylor
4% +2432 —
BYU
10% +953 ▼ 19
California
4% +2717 —
Clemson
4% +2567 —
Florida
3% +3290 ▼ 1
Florida St.
3% +3233 —
Georgia Tech
3% +3233 —
Houston
4% +2281 —
Illinois
3% +3536 —
Iowa
3% +2977 —
James Madison
4% +2532 —
Kansas St.
4% +2497 ▼ 0
Louisville
5% +2098 —
LSU
7% +1438 ▼ 1
Miami (FL)
58% -138 ▼ 9
Michigan
4% +2432 —
Missouri
5% +1962 —
Miami (OH)
3% +3233 —
North Carolina St.
3% +3233 —
Notre Dame
72% -257 ▼ 2
Oklahoma
3% +3290 ▼ 4
Oklahoma St.
<1% +11665 ▼ 0
Oregon
4% +2678 —
Ohio St.
4% +2147 ▼ 42
Pittsburgh
4% +2640 —
Penn St.
2% +6150 —
South Carolina
4% +2173 —
SMU
4% +2497 —
TCU
4% +2603 —
Tennessee
11% +852 ▲ 1
Texas Tech
12% +770 ▼ 0

Showing the top 40 of 50 outcomes.

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Oct 16 Nov 8
Georgia

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the above team is seeded No. 1, No. 2, No. 3, or No. 4 in the 2026-27 College Football Playoff bracket, and "No" otherwise. If the 2026-27 College Football Playoff is canceled, or an official bracket is not released by December 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all outcomes in this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the College Football Playoff (collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Polymarket lists Dec 21, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on NCAA Football: CFB Playoff Top 4 Seeds?

This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.