NCAA Football: 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader Odds
Polymarket traders give Arch Manning a 23% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arch Manning | 23% | +332 | — |
| Sam Leavitt | 22% | +355 | — |
| Drew Mestemaker | 7% | +1371 | ▼ 17 |
| Darian Mensah | 4% | +2400 | — |
| Josh Hoover | 4% | +2678 | — |
| Julian Sayin | 4% | +2757 | — |
| CJ Carr | 3% | +3536 | ▼ 1 |
| Jayden Maiava | 2% | +3982 | — |
| Noah Fifita | 2% | +4551 | ▼ 2 |
| Bryce Underwood | 2% | +4778 | ▼ 1 |
| Demond Williams | 2% | +5163 | ▼ 1 |
| Devon Dampier | 2% | +5782 | ▼ 2 |
| Gunner Stockton | 2% | +6150 | ▼ 3 |
| Bear Bachmeier | 1% | +7307 | ▼ 2 |
| Brendan Sorsby | 1% | +7900 | — |
| Dante Moore | 1% | +8233 | — |
| Trinidad Chambliss | <1% | +14186 | — |
| LaNorris Sellers | <1% | +15285 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season with the most passing yards. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more passing touchdowns during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher passing yards per attempt. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2026 NCAA FBS season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NCAA FBS statistics for completed games. If the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led NCAA FBS in passing yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/stats/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in NCAA Football: 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Arch Manning at 23%, about +332 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 4, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on NCAA Football: 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.