NBA: 2026-27 Western Conference #1 Seed Odds
Polymarket traders give San Antonio Spurs a 46% chance (Kalshi: 39%).
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs | 46% | +117 | ▼ 2 | 39% |
| Golden State Warriors | 41% | +144 | ▲ 36 | 1% |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 25% | +308 | ▼ 1 | 17% |
| Houston Rockets | 17% | +487 | ▲ 2 | 20% |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 8% | +1216 | — | 5% |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 4% | +2173 | ▼ 2 | 4% |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 4% | +2400 | — | 6% |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 4% | +2757 | ▲ 2 | <1% |
| Dallas Mavericks | 3% | +2885 | ▲ 2 | <1% |
| Phoenix Suns | 3% | +2885 | ▲ 2 | <1% |
| Denver Nuggets | 3% | +3822 | ▼ 2 | 4% |
| Los Angeles Clippers | 2% | +5961 | — | <1% |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 2% | +6352 | ▼ 1 | <1% |
| Utah Jazz | <1% | +11665 | — | <1% |
| Other | <1% | +16567 | — | — |
| Sacramento Kings | <1% | +22122 | — | <1% |
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Price history
On Kalshi
The same question also trades on Kalshi. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the team that holds the #1 seed in the Western Conference at the conclusion of the 2026-27 NBA regular season, as shown in the final official NBA Western Conference standings with the NBA's tiebreaker procedures applied. Each other listed team's market will resolve to "No". The 2026-27 NBA regular season is scheduled to run from October 20, 2026 to April 11, 2027. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to finish as the #1 seed in the Western Conference, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NBA regular season is shortened, this market will resolve according to the final official standings of the shortened season. If the 2026-27 NBA regular season is cancelled, or the #1 seed has not been determined by April 25, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each listed team's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in NBA: 2026-27 Western Conference #1 Seed?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price San Antonio Spurs at 46%, about +117 in American odds. On Kalshi the same outcome trades at 39%. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Apr 26, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on NBA: 2026-27 Western Conference #1 Seed?
This market trades on Polymarket and a matching market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.