AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 92% ▲ 39College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Zimbabwe 3% ▼ 29Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 77% ▲ 24Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 83% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 78% ▲ 20Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 20Next Israeli government # of seats: <58 72% ▲ 20NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Iran … 75% ▼ 17ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 77% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 37% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 46% ▼ 15AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 92% ▲ 39College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Zimbabwe 3% ▼ 29Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 77% ▲ 24Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 83% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 78% ▲ 20Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 20Next Israeli government # of seats: <58 72% ▲ 20NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Iran … 75% ▼ 17ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 77% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 37% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 46% ▼ 15

NBA: 2026-27 Sixth Man of the Year Odds

Polymarket traders give Payton Pritchard a 32% chance (Kalshi: 33%).

Polymarket Volume $13.6K 24h $97 Liquidity $266K Ends Jul 1, 2027 Updated Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h Kalshi
Payton Pritchard
32% +215 — 33%
Jrue Holiday
25% +293 ▲ 3 19%
Damian Lillard
17% +504 ▲ 1 <1%
Terrence Shannon Jr.
16% +545 ▼ 1 2%
Anfernee Simons
15% +551 ▲ 11 6%
Miles McBride
15% +583 ▲ 9 <1%
Zaccharie Risacher
14% +617 ▲ 1 <1%
Duncan Robinson
14% +641 ▲ 6 <1%
Guerschon Yabusele
13% +672 ▼ 6 <1%
Jabari Smith
13% +675 ▼ 6 <1%
Collin Sexton
12% +733 ▼ 5 2%
Derik Queen
12% +762 ▼ 3 <1%
Obi Toppin
11% +797 ▼ 5 2%
Cole Anthony
11% +809 ▼ 4 <1%
De'Andre Hunter
11% +809 ▼ 4 <1%
Jonathan Kuminga
10% +905 ▼ 1 <1%
P.J. Washington
9% +958 ▼ 6 <1%
Julian Strawther
9% +993 ▼ 2 <1%
Dennis Schroder
9% +1005 ▼ 7 —
Daniss Jenkins
8% +1083 ▼ 11 1%
Reed Sheppard
8% +1105 ▼ 3 1%
Bogdan Bogdanovic
8% +1135 ▼ 7 <1%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
8% +1158 ▲ 4 <1%
Jared McCain
8% +1158 — 5%
Mitchell Robinson
8% +1166 ▼ 7 <1%
Kevin Porter Jr.
7% +1329 — <1%
Scoot Henderson
6% +1526 — <1%
Ajay Mitchell
6% +1526 — 1%
Jerami Grant
6% +1595 ▲ 2 <1%
Isaiah Collier
6% +1639 — <1%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
6% +1639 — <1%
Collin Gillespie
5% +1880 — <1%
Kelly Oubre Jr.
5% +2122 ▲ 2 <1%
Pelle Larsson
4% +2173 ▼ 7 3%
Kel'el Ware
4% +2226 — <1%
Sam Hauser
4% +2253 ▲ 1 <1%
Ace Bailey
4% +2310 — 2%
Quentin Grimes
4% +2310 — <1%
Ty Jerome
4% +2310 — <1%
Keldon Johnson
4% +2310 — 2%

Showing the top 40 of 77 outcomes.

We may earn a commission if you sign up or trade through links to venues. It never changes the prices or rankings we show. 18+ (21+ where required). Only trade where prediction markets are legal for you. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. How we make money

Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Oct 22 Nov 8
Payton PritchardJrue HolidayDamian LillardTerrence Shannon Jr.

On Kalshi

The same question also trades on Kalshi. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.

Pro Basketball Sixth Man of the Year Winner · 2026-27 season
Payton Pritchard33% ▲ 1
Jrue Holiday19% ▼ 4
Ayo Dosunmu8% —
Anfernee Simons6% ▼ 2
Kalshi $248 24h · $49.3K vol

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Sixth Man of the Year award for the 2026-27 NBA regular season. If the winner is not a listed player, the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". If the NBA names more than one winner of the award, each listed player's market, including those of the co-winners, will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". If no winner of the award is announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, for any reason, including cancellation of the 2026-27 NBA season, each listed player's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

Who is favored in NBA: 2026-27 Sixth Man of the Year?

As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Payton Pritchard at 32%, about +215 in American odds. On Kalshi the same outcome trades at 33%. Prices move with every trade.

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Polymarket lists Jul 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on NBA: 2026-27 Sixth Man of the Year?

This market trades on Polymarket and a matching market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.