AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16

Natural gas price on Nov 4, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST Odds · Nov 4, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST

This market has resolved. Final prices are below.

Kalshi Volume $26.8K Ended Nov 4, 2026 Updated Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Above $2.800
87% -669 ▲ 87
Above $2.805
89% -809 ▲ 89
Above $2.810
0% — —
Above $2.815
0% — —
Above $2.820
0% — —
Above $2.825
0% — —
Above $2.830
92% -1150 ▲ 92
Above $2.835
96% -2400 ▲ 96
Above $2.840
87% -669 ▲ 87
Above $2.845
85% -567 ▲ 85
Above $2.850
99% -9900 ▲ 99
Above $2.855
98% -4900 ▲ 98
Above $2.860
97% -3233 ▲ 97
Above $2.865
90% -900 ▲ 90
Above $2.870
99% -9900 ▲ 99
Above $2.875
96% -2400 ▲ 96
Above $2.880
96% -2400 ▲ 96
Above $2.885
99% -9900 ▲ 99
Above $2.890
94% -1567 ▲ 94
Above $2.895
96% -2400 ▲ 96
Above $2.900
99% -9900 ▲ 99
Above $2.905
91% -1011 ▲ 91
Above $2.910
89% -809 ▲ 89
Above $2.915
99% -9900 ▲ 99
Above $2.920
98% -4900 ▲ 98
Above $2.925
98% -4900 ▲ 73
Above $2.930
99% -9900 ▲ 76
Above $2.935
99% -9900 ▲ 99
Above $2.940
98% -4900 ▲ 98
Above $2.945
99% -9900 ▲ 99
Above $2.950
99% -9900 ▲ 80
Above $2.955
1% +9900 ▲ 1
Above $2.960
1% +9900 ▲ 1
Above $2.965
1% +9900 ▲ 1
Above $2.970
1% +9900 ▲ 1
Above $2.975
5% +1900 ▲ 5
Above $2.980
1% +9900 ▲ 1
Above $2.985
1% +9900 ▲ 1
Above $2.990
4% +2400 ▲ 4
Above $2.995
3% +3233 ▲ 3

Showing the top 40 of 70 outcomes.

Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Nov 4 Nov 4
Above $2.800

Resolution rules

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for natural gas on November 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 2.800 USD/MMBtu, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Nov 4, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.

Where can I trade on Natural gas price on Nov 4, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?

This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.