Nationwide ground stop lifted by... Odds
This market has resolved: November 13, 10:00 PM ET. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| November 13, 6:00 PM ET | 0% | — | — |
| November 13, 8:00 PM ET | 0% | — | — |
| November 13, 10:00 PM ET ✓ | 100% | — | — |
| November 14, 12:00 AM ET ✓ | 100% | — | — |
| November 14, 12:00 PM ET ✓ | 100% | — | — |
| November 15, 12:00 AM ET ✓ | 100% | — | — |
| November 13, 7:00 PM ET | 0% | — | — |
| November 13, 9:00 PM ET ✓ | 100% | — | — |
| November 14, 2:00 AM ET ✓ | 100% | — | — |
| November 14, 6:00 AM ET ✓ | 100% | — | — |
| November 13, 11:00 PM ET ✓ | 100% | — | — |
| November 13, 10:30 PM ET ✓ | 100% | — | — |
| November 14, 4:00 AM ET ✓ | 100% | — | — |
| November 14, 1:00 AM ET ✓ | 100% | — | — |
Resolution rules
The FAA issued a nationwide ground stop for flights departing U.S. airports on November 13, 2026 (see: https://www.cnn.com/2026/11/13/us/faa-nationwide-ground-stop). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the FAA, the U.S. Department of Transportation, or their authorized representatives officially announce that this nationwide ground stop is no longer in effect between market creation and the listed date and time (inclusive of the listed minute). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must communicate that the nationwide (all-airports) ground stop is cancelled or otherwise no longer in effect, including where it is replaced by narrower ground stops or other traffic management initiatives at individual airports or regions. Announcements that the ground stop is lifted for, or does not affect, specific airports, regions, or flights while the nationwide ground stop remains in effect will not count. An announcement that the ground stop will end at a future time will not qualify until its effective time. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the FAA & the Department of Transportation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 15, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on Nationwide ground stop lifted by...?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.