National Debt Relief 250 Winner Odds · National Debt Relief 250 ('26)
This market has resolved: Carson Kvapil. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Kvapil ✓ | 98% | -4900 | ▲ 81 |
| Brandon Jones | 4% | +2400 | ▼ 2 |
| Parker Retzlaff | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Lee Pulliam | 2% | +4900 | ▲ 1 |
| Jeremy Clements | 1% | +9900 | ▲ 1 |
| Justin Allgaier | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 24 |
| Ryan Sieg | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Joey Gase | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Jeb Burton | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Austin Hill | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 1 |
| Brennan Poole | 1% | +9900 | ▲ 1 |
| Harrison Burton | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Sheldon Creed | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 5 |
| Josh Bilicki | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Patrick Emerling | 1% | +9900 | ▲ 1 |
| Anthony Alfredo | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Sam Mayer | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 3 |
| Carson Ware | 1% | +9900 | ▲ 1 |
| Kyle Sieg | 1% | +9900 | ▲ 1 |
| Taylor Gray | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 9 |
| Dean Thompson | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Rajah Caruth | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 3 |
| Mason Maggio | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Sammy Smith | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 7 |
| Daniel Dye | 1% | +9900 | — |
| William Sawalich | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 4 |
| Jesse Love | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 9 |
| Corey Day | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 4 |
| Brent Crews | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 6 |
| Alex Labbe | 1% | +9900 | ▲ 1 |
| Ryan Ellis | 0% | — | — |
| Garrett Smithley | 0% | — | — |
| Dawson Cram | 0% | — | — |
| Blaine Perkins | 0% | — | — |
| Baltazar Leguizamon | 0% | — | — |
| Patrick Staropoli | 0% | — | — |
| Lavar Scott | 0% | — | — |
| Justin Carroll | 0% | — | — |
Price history
Resolution rules
If Jeremy Clements finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026 at the 2026 National Debt Relief 250, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 1, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on National Debt Relief 250 Winner?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.