AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16

NASCAR Xfinity 500: Top 10 Finishers Odds · 2026 NASCAR Xfinity 500

This market has resolved: Denny Hamlin. Final prices are below.

Kalshi Volume $28.2K Ended Nov 2, 2026 Updated Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Brad Keselowski
1% +9900 ▼ 25
AJ Allmendinger
1% +9900 ▼ 10
Denny Hamlin ✓
99% -9900 ▲ 29
Michael McDowell
1% +9900 ▼ 9
Joey Logano
1% +9900 ▼ 71
Austin Dillon ✓
99% -9900 ▲ 77
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
1% +9900 ▼ 5
Shane van Gisbergen ✓
99% -9900 ▲ 61
Chris Buescher
1% +9900 ▼ 20
Ross Chastain
1% +9900 ▼ 36
Ty Dillon
6% +1567 ▲ 1
Ryan Blaney
1% +9900 ▼ 73
Bubba Wallace ✓
99% -9900 ▲ 45
Kyle Larson ✓
99% -9900 ▲ 27
Alex Bowman
1% +9900 ▼ 33
Chase Elliott ✓
99% -9900 ▲ 35
Erik Jones
1% +9900 ▲ 1
Tyler Reddick
1% +9900 ▼ 40
Ryan Preece
1% +9900 ▼ 37
John Hunter Nemechek
5% +1900 ▼ 2
Cole Custer
9% +1011 ▲ 9
Daniel Suarez
1% +9900 ▼ 14
Josh Berry ✓
99% -9900 ▲ 48
Cody Ware
3% +3233 —
Austin Hill
1% +9900 ▼ 14
Christopher Bell ✓
99% -9900 ▲ 39
Austin Cindric
1% +9900 ▼ 52
William Byron ✓
98% -4900 ▲ 34
Josh Bilicki
3% +3233 ▼ 1
Noah Gragson
6% +1567 ▲ 6
Chase Briscoe
1% +9900 ▼ 59
Todd Gilliland
1% +9900 ▼ 18
Riley Herbst
1% +9900 ▼ 6
Zane Smith
8% +1150 ▲ 8
Carson Hocevar
1% +9900 ▼ 43
Ty Gibbs ✓
99% -9900 ▲ 41
Connor Zilisch
1% +9900 ▼ 36

Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Oct 27 Nov 2
Brad Keselowski

Resolution rules

If Brad Keselowski finishes in the top 10 in the main race originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 at the 2026 NASCAR Xfinity 500 , then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Nov 2, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.

Where can I trade on NASCAR Xfinity 500: Top 10 Finishers?

This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.