AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16

NASCAR NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race: Top 10 Finishers Odds · 2026 NASCAR NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race

Kalshi Volume $8.2K 24h $1.7K Ends Nov 9, 2026 Updated Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Casey Mears
5% +2122 —
J.J. Yeley
5% +2122 —
Brad Keselowski
30% +233 ▲ 8
AJ Allmendinger
36% +178 ▲ 15
Denny Hamlin
93% -1329 ▲ 19
Michael McDowell
26% +285 ▲ 13
Joey Logano
59% -144 ▲ 15
Austin Dillon
32% +212 ▲ 19
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
5% +1900 —
Shane van Gisbergen
42% +138 ▲ 23
Chris Buescher
25% +300 —
Ross Chastain
37% +170 ▲ 8
Ty Dillon
2% +6567 —
Ryan Blaney
84% -525 ▲ 9
Bubba Wallace
59% -144 ▲ 20
Kyle Larson
89% -809 ▲ 11
Alex Bowman
47% +113 ▲ 18
Chase Elliott
59% -144 ▲ 12
Erik Jones
15% +567 —
Tyler Reddick
71% -245 ▲ 1
Ryan Preece
47% +113 ▲ 19
John Hunter Nemechek
2% +4900 —
Cole Custer
0% — —
Daniel Suarez
21% +376 —
Josh Berry
75% -300 ▲ 45
Cody Ware
5% +1900 —
Austin Hill
32% +212 ▲ 27
Christopher Bell
67% -203 —
Austin Cindric
50% +102 ▲ 9
William Byron
61% -156 ▲ 2
Noah Gragson
9% +1011 ▼ 4
Chase Briscoe
68% -213 ▼ 1
Todd Gilliland
6% +1567 —
Chad Finchum
5% +2122 —
Riley Herbst
0% — —
Zane Smith
9% +1011 ▼ 1
Carson Hocevar
5% +1900 —
Ty Gibbs
57% -135 ▲ 7
Corey Heim
69% -223 ▲ 22
Connor Zilisch
42% +138 ▲ 27

Showing the top 40 of 41 outcomes.

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Nov 4 Nov 8
Casey Mears

Resolution rules

If Casey Mears finishes in the top 10 in the main race originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026 at the 2026 NASCAR NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race , then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Nov 9, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on NASCAR NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race: Top 10 Finishers?

This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.