NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race Winner Odds · NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race ('26)
Kalshi traders give Ryan Blaney a 16% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Blaney | 16% | +545 | ▼ 2 |
| Tyler Reddick | 15% | +567 | ▲ 5 |
| Kyle Larson | 15% | +590 | ▼ 2 |
| Chase Briscoe | 15% | +590 | ▲ 6 |
| Denny Hamlin | 14% | +641 | — |
| Christopher Bell | 11% | +852 | — |
| Austin Cindric | 4% | +2757 | ▲ 1 |
| Ty Gibbs | 4% | +2757 | ▼ 2 |
| Joey Logano | 3% | +3900 | — |
| Chase Elliott | 3% | +3900 | ▼ 1 |
| William Byron | 3% | +3900 | ▼ 4 |
| Corey Heim | 3% | +3900 | ▼ 1 |
| Bubba Wallace | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Alex Bowman | 2% | +6567 | ▼ 1 |
| Casey Mears | <1% | +19900 | — |
| J.J. Yeley | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Brad Keselowski | <1% | +19900 | — |
| AJ Allmendinger | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Michael McDowell | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Austin Dillon | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Shane van Gisbergen | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Chris Buescher | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Ross Chastain | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Ty Dillon | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Erik Jones | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Ryan Preece | <1% | +19900 | — |
| John Hunter Nemechek | <1% | +19900 | ▲ 1 |
| Cole Custer | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Daniel Suarez | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Josh Berry | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Cody Ware | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Austin Hill | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Noah Gragson | <1% | +19900 | ▲ 1 |
| Todd Gilliland | <1% | +19900 | ▲ 1 |
| Chad Finchum | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Riley Herbst | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Zane Smith | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Carson Hocevar | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Connor Zilisch | <1% | +19900 | — |
Showing the top 40 of 41 outcomes.
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Casey Mears finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026 at the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race Winner?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Ryan Blaney at 16%, about +545 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 9, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race Winner?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.