Liga MX: 2026 Apertura Champion Odds
Polymarket traders give Cruz Azul a 24% chance (Kalshi: 23%).
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruz Azul | 24% | +317 | ▲ 6 | 23% |
| Guadalajara | 24% | +326 | ▼ 0 | 26% |
| América | 23% | +344 | ▼ 1 | — |
| Toluca | 13% | +658 | ▼ 1 | 13% |
| Santos Laguna | 8% | +1127 | ▲ 1 | 8% |
| Atlas | 4% | +2400 | ▼ 2 | 5% |
| León | 2% | +4155 | — | — |
| Pumas UNAM | 2% | +4778 | — | 2% |
| Monterrey | 2% | +4778 | ▼ 5 | 2% |
| Querétaro | 2% | +5163 | — | — |
| Pachuca | 2% | +5614 | ▼ 1 | 2% |
| Tijuana | 2% | +6150 | — | 2% |
| Puebla | <1% | +14186 | — | <1% |
| Atlético de San Luis | <1% | +39900 | — | <1% |
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Price history
On Kalshi
The same question also trades on Kalshi. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 Apertura Final in Liga MX. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 Apertura in Liga MX per the rules of the Liga MX (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Liga MX season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from Liga MX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Liga MX: 2026 Apertura Champion?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Cruz Azul at 24%, about +317 in American odds. On Kalshi the same outcome trades at 23%. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Liga MX: 2026 Apertura Champion?
This market trades on Polymarket and a matching market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.