LeBron James: Retirement Odds · LeBron James
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before the 2027-28 season | 42% | +138 | — |
| Before the 2028-29 season | 78% | -365 | ▼ 1 |
| Before the 2029-30 season | 90% | -852 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If LeBron James announces his retirement from the NBA before the 2027-28 NBA season start date, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 15, 2029 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on LeBron James: Retirement?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.