Louisiana-Monroe vs Grand Canyon: Grand Canyon 94% ▲ 97Nicotine product point of sale spend array i… 97% ▲ 97US crude oil inventories for the week ending… 80% ▲ 80How many U.S. reps vote to impeach Hegseth b… 95% ▲ 80Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Jan 1… 4% ▼ 76Pete Hegseth impeached by...: December 31, 2… 3% ▼ 75What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 74% ▲ 75What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 65% ▲ 63Anthropic IPO Date: November 19 80% ▲ 55Will Iran target Oman by...: December 31 76% ▲ 53Hersonissos 3: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Cezar Cre… 60% ▲ 48Will Iran target Oman by...: November 30 74% ▲ 48LG Sakers vs. Seoul Knights: LG Sakers vs Se… 95% ▲ 48What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 50% ▲ 47Next Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released… 79% ▲ 47WTA Finals Doubles, Group 2 (Doubles): Sinia… 94% ▲ 44Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Big Bash League, Women: Perth Scorchers vs S… 89% ▲ 39Lima: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Tomas Barrios: … 71% ▲ 38"You Can See Everything" total domestic gros… 72% ▲ 37"You Can See Everything" total domestic gros… 28% ▼ 37How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: <$… 48% ▲ 35Fed decisions (Oct-Jan): Pause-Hike-Hike 44% ▲ 34Which of these people will be impeached firs… 48% ▼ 33Louisiana-Monroe vs Grand Canyon: Grand Canyon 94% ▲ 97Nicotine product point of sale spend array i… 97% ▲ 97US crude oil inventories for the week ending… 80% ▲ 80How many U.S. reps vote to impeach Hegseth b… 95% ▲ 80Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Jan 1… 4% ▼ 76Pete Hegseth impeached by...: December 31, 2… 3% ▼ 75What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 74% ▲ 75What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 65% ▲ 63Anthropic IPO Date: November 19 80% ▲ 55Will Iran target Oman by...: December 31 76% ▲ 53Hersonissos 3: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Cezar Cre… 60% ▲ 48Will Iran target Oman by...: November 30 74% ▲ 48LG Sakers vs. Seoul Knights: LG Sakers vs Se… 95% ▲ 48What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 50% ▲ 47Next Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released… 79% ▲ 47WTA Finals Doubles, Group 2 (Doubles): Sinia… 94% ▲ 44Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Big Bash League, Women: Perth Scorchers vs S… 89% ▲ 39Lima: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Tomas Barrios: … 71% ▲ 38"You Can See Everything" total domestic gros… 72% ▲ 37"You Can See Everything" total domestic gros… 28% ▼ 37How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: <$… 48% ▲ 35Fed decisions (Oct-Jan): Pause-Hike-Hike 44% ▲ 34Which of these people will be impeached firs… 48% ▼ 33

Las Vegas Grand Prix Main Race Winner Odds · Las Vegas Grand Prix 2026

Kalshi traders give Max Verstappen a 36% chance.

Kalshi Volume $8.1K 24h $1.8K Ends Nov 22, 2026 Updated Nov 11, 5:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Max Verstappen
36% +182 —
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
29% +251 ▲ 1
Lando Norris
14% +641 ▼ 1
George Russell
12% +770 —
Charles Leclerc
5% +2122 ▼ 1
Lewis Hamilton
4% +2757 —
Oscar Piastri
3% +3900 —
Isack Hadjar
2% +6567 —
Valtteri Bottas
<1% +19900 —
Sergio Perez
<1% +19900 —
Nico Hulkenberg
<1% +19900 —
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1% +19900 —
Fernando Alonso
<1% +19900 —
Lance Stroll
<1% +19900 —
Pierre Gasly
<1% +19900 —
Alexander Albon
<1% +19900 —
Liam Lawson
<1% +19900 —
Oliver Bearman
<1% +19900 —
Franco Colapinto
<1% +19900 —
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1% +19900 —
Ryo Hirakawa
<1% +19900 —
Arvid Lindblad
<1% +19900 —

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Nov 9 Nov 11
Max VerstappenAndrea Kimi AntonelliLando NorrisGeorge Russell

Resolution rules

If Lewis Hamilton finishes in first in the main race originally scheduled for November 21, 2026 at the 2026 Las Vegas Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

Who is favored in Las Vegas Grand Prix Main Race Winner?

As of Nov 11, 5:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Max Verstappen at 36%, about +182 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Nov 22, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on Las Vegas Grand Prix Main Race Winner?

This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.