Lake Mead end-of-month water elevation in Dec 2026 Odds · Dec 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1033 Ft | 94% | -1567 | — |
| Above 1034 Ft | 87% | -641 | ▲ 2 |
| Above 1035 Ft | 77% | -326 | — |
| Above 1036 Ft | 72% | -257 | — |
| Above 1037 Ft | 67% | -199 | — |
| Above 1038 Ft | 55% | -122 | — |
| Above 1039 Ft | 45% | +120 | — |
| Above 1040 Ft | 36% | +178 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Lake Mead's end-of-month water elevation at Hoover Dam for Dec 2026 is strictly greater than 1033 feet, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 7, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Lake Mead end-of-month water elevation in Dec 2026?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.