M15 Roldan: Marlon Vankan vs Dante Pagani Odds
Polymarket traders give Dante Pagani a >99% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marlon Vankan | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Dante Pagani | >99% | -199900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Marlon Vankan and Dante Pagani in the M15 Roldan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marlon Vankan' if Marlon Vankan advances against Dante Pagani. This market will resolve to 'Dante Pagani' if Dante Pagani advances against Marlon Vankan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in M15 Roldan: Marlon Vankan vs Dante Pagani?
As of Nov 11, 5:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Dante Pagani at >99%, about -199900 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 17, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on M15 Roldan: Marlon Vankan vs Dante Pagani?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.