Italy vs France Odds · ITA vs FRA (Nov 12)
Kalshi traders give France a 54% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| France | 54% | -115 | ▼ 1 |
| Tie | 25% | +300 | — |
| Italy | 22% | +365 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Italy wins the Italy vs France professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Italy vs France?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price France at 54%, about -115 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 12, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Italy vs France?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.