India meets its 2030 climate goals Odds · By 2030
Kalshi traders give “Yes” a 66% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 66% | -190 | — |
| No | 35% | +190 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If India has reduced the emission intensity of its GDP by 45% relative to the 2005 level by 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
What are the odds of "India meets its 2030 climate goals"?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Yes at 66%, about -190 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Dec 31, 2031 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on India meets its 2030 climate goals?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.