"How to Rob a Bank" Opening Weekend Box Office Odds
Polymarket traders give <7m a 56% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| <7m | 56% | -130 | ▲ 2 |
| 7m-9m | 24% | +326 | ▼ 4 |
| 13m-15m | 16% | +545 | ▲ 5 |
| 11m-13m | 14% | +614 | ▲ 4 |
| 9m-11m | 11% | +809 | ▼ 6 |
| 15m+ | 7% | +1329 | ▼ 18 |
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Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to how much "How to Rob a Bank" will gross domestically on its 3-day opening weekend (November 13 - 15). This market will resolve as soon as a final (i.e., not studio estimates) opening weekend figure is available, and no later than December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution source is the opening weekend figure in the "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the "Box Office" tab of this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. If The Numbers does not have a final figure by December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the "Weekend" figure for the movie's first weekend on the "Domestic Weekend" tab of this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/) release page. If neither source has a final figure by December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the figure The Numbers reports at that time, or, if The Numbers reports none, the figure Box Office Mojo reports at that time. If neither source reports any figure by December 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve according to the figure for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in "How to Rob a Bank" Opening Weekend Box Office?
As of Nov 11, 5:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price <7m at 56%, about -130 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 15, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on "How to Rob a Bank" Opening Weekend Box Office?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.