How many major Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year Odds · Eastern Pacific in 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 3 ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Above 4 ✓ | 97% | -3233 | — |
| Above 5 ✓ | 95% | -1900 | — |
| Above 6 ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Above 7 ✓ | 96% | -2400 | — |
| Above 8 | 15% | +567 | — |
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Resolution rules
If more than 3 hurricanes of category 3 or above occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Dec 1, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on How many major Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.