How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026 Odds
Polymarket traders give 1-3 a 97% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-3 | 97% | -3348 | — |
| 4-6 | 2% | +4900 | ▼ 1 |
| 7+ | <1% | +199900 | — |
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Price history
On Kalshi
A similar market trades on Kalshi. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0". A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price 1-3 at 97%, about -3348 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Dec 1, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
This market trades on Polymarket and a matching market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.