Louisiana-Monroe vs Grand Canyon: Grand Canyon 94% ▲ 97Nicotine product point of sale spend array i… 97% ▲ 97US crude oil inventories for the week ending… 80% ▲ 80How many U.S. reps vote to impeach Hegseth b… 95% ▲ 80Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Jan 1… 4% ▼ 76Pete Hegseth impeached by...: December 31, 2… 3% ▼ 75What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 74% ▲ 75What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 65% ▲ 63Anthropic IPO Date: November 19 80% ▲ 55Will Iran target Oman by...: December 31 76% ▲ 53Hersonissos 3: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Cezar Cre… 60% ▲ 48Will Iran target Oman by...: November 30 74% ▲ 48LG Sakers vs. Seoul Knights: LG Sakers vs Se… 95% ▲ 48What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 50% ▲ 47Next Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released… 79% ▲ 47WTA Finals Doubles, Group 2 (Doubles): Sinia… 94% ▲ 44Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Big Bash League, Women: Perth Scorchers vs S… 89% ▲ 39Lima: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Tomas Barrios: … 71% ▲ 38"You Can See Everything" total domestic gros… 72% ▲ 37"You Can See Everything" total domestic gros… 28% ▼ 37How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: <$… 48% ▲ 35Fed decisions (Oct-Jan): Pause-Hike-Hike 44% ▲ 34Which of these people will be impeached firs… 48% ▼ 33Louisiana-Monroe vs Grand Canyon: Grand Canyon 94% ▲ 97Nicotine product point of sale spend array i… 97% ▲ 97US crude oil inventories for the week ending… 80% ▲ 80How many U.S. reps vote to impeach Hegseth b… 95% ▲ 80Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Jan 1… 4% ▼ 76Pete Hegseth impeached by...: December 31, 2… 3% ▼ 75What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 74% ▲ 75What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 65% ▲ 63Anthropic IPO Date: November 19 80% ▲ 55Will Iran target Oman by...: December 31 76% ▲ 53Hersonissos 3: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Cezar Cre… 60% ▲ 48Will Iran target Oman by...: November 30 74% ▲ 48LG Sakers vs. Seoul Knights: LG Sakers vs Se… 95% ▲ 48What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 50% ▲ 47Next Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released… 79% ▲ 47WTA Finals Doubles, Group 2 (Doubles): Sinia… 94% ▲ 44Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Big Bash League, Women: Perth Scorchers vs S… 89% ▲ 39Lima: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Tomas Barrios: … 71% ▲ 38"You Can See Everything" total domestic gros… 72% ▲ 37"You Can See Everything" total domestic gros… 28% ▼ 37How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: <$… 48% ▲ 35Fed decisions (Oct-Jan): Pause-Hike-Hike 44% ▲ 34Which of these people will be impeached firs… 48% ▼ 33

Grammys 2027: Best New Artist Nominations Odds

Polymarket Volume $624 24h $528 Liquidity $43.9K Ends Nov 17, 2026 Updated Nov 11, 5:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h Kalshi
Ninajirachi
3% +3471 — <1%
Loe Shimmy
3% +3746 — <1%
Sasha Keable
3% +2799 ▼ 47 <1%
SAILORR
36% +181 ▼ 13 <1%
JADE
5% +2122 ▼ 6 <1%
Magdalena Bay
37% +167 ▼ 12 <1%
The Beaches
5% +2051 ▼ 4 <1%
BigXthaPlug
3% +2799 ▼ 46 <1%
Renee Rapp
4% +2173 ▼ 46 1%
Mk.gee
3% +3233 ▼ 4 <1%
Jessie Murph
3% +3290 ▼ 5 <1%
underscores
8% +1098 ▼ 41 —
EsDeeKid
3% +3746 ▼ 47 <1%
Bella Kay
21% +388 ▼ 28 3%
Stella Lefty
28% +251 ▼ 20 —
Ken Carson
7% +1438 ▼ 6 —
Don Toliver
68% -208 ▲ 19 —
Audrey Hobert
59% -144 ▲ 10 —
Geese
85% -567 ▼ 0 4%
Slayyyter
85% -567 ▲ 6 7%
Role Model
56% -125 ▲ 7 —
Malcolm Todd
61% -153 ▲ 12 —
SIENNA SPIRO
93% -1233 ▲ 4 22%
Ella Langley
98% -5305 ▲ 48 66%

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Nov 10 Nov 11
Ninajirachi

On Kalshi

The same question also trades on Kalshi. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.

Grammy Winner: Best New Artist · In 2027
Ella Langley66% ▲ 2
SIENNA SPIRO22% ▲ 2
Slayyyter7% ▼ 9
Geese4% ▼ 3
Kalshi $316 24h · $19.2K vol

Resolution rules

The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 16, 2026, and the ceremony for February 7, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed artist is nominated for Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If an artist is not officially nominated for Best New Artist when the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by February 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the GRAMMY Awards and the Recording Academy, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.grammy.com/) and the live broadcast of the nominations announcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Polymarket lists Nov 17, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on Grammys 2027: Best New Artist Nominations?

This market trades on Polymarket and a matching market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.