Grammys 2027: Album of the Year Nominations Odds
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WOR$T GIRL IN AMERICA - Slayyyter | 3% | +3822 | ▼ 47 | — |
| West End Girl - Lily Allen | 10% | +953 | ▼ 10 | — |
| The Boys of Dungeon Lane - Paul McCartney | 11% | +809 | ▼ 11 | — |
| Middle of Nowhere - Kacey Musgraves | 36% | +178 | ▲ 23 | — |
| Deadbeat - Tame Impala | 14% | +614 | ▼ 33 | — |
| petal - Ariana Grande | 47% | +113 | ▲ 28 | — |
| Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally - Harry Styles | 28% | +264 | ▲ 3 | 2% |
| Octane - Don Toliver | 35% | +186 | ▲ 17 | — |
| Confessions II - Madonna | 47% | +113 | ▲ 19 | — |
| Lost Weekend - Phoebe Bridgers | 61% | -153 | ▲ 12 | 3% |
| Dandelion - Ella Langley | 54% | -115 | ▲ 22 | 6% |
| The Great Divide - Noah Kahan | 34% | +194 | ▼ 29 | 6% |
| Lux - Rosalia | 85% | -545 | ▲ 33 | 20% |
| The Life of a Showgirl - Taylor Swift | 87% | -669 | ▲ 36 | 6% |
| The Romantic - Bruno Mars | 74% | -277 | ▼ 5 | 1% |
| This Music May Contain Hope - RAYE | 75% | -300 | ▲ 2 | — |
| The Art of Loving - Olivia Dean | 97% | -2799 | ▲ 3 | 21% |
| you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love - Olivia Rodrigo | 97% | -2757 | — | 46% |
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Price history
On Kalshi
The same question also trades on Kalshi. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 16, 2026, and the ceremony for February 7, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed album is nominated for Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If an album is not officially nominated for Album of the Year when the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by February 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the GRAMMY Awards and the Recording Academy, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.grammy.com/) and the live broadcast of the nominations announcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 17, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Grammys 2027: Album of the Year Nominations?
This market trades on Polymarket and a matching market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.