United States Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position Odds
This market has resolved: Kimi Antonelli. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kimi Antonelli ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 77 |
| Pierre Gasly | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Fernando Alonso | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Alexander Albon | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Sergio Perez | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Charles Leclerc | 0% | — | ▼ 21 |
| Esteban Ocon | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Lando Norris | 0% | — | ▼ 6 |
| Max Verstappen | 0% | — | ▼ 42 |
| Franco Colapinto | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Valtteri Bottas | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Lewis Hamilton | 0% | — | ▼ 8 |
| Oliver Bearman | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Oscar Piastri | 0% | — | ▼ 3 |
| George Russell | 0% | — | ▼ 4 |
| Arvid Lindblad | 0% | — | — |
| Isack Hadjar | 0% | — | ▼ 2 |
| Liam Lawson | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Lance Stroll | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Yuki Tsunoda | 0% | — | ▼ 6 |
| Other | 0% | — | — |
| Driver A | 0% | — | — |
| Driver B | 0% | — | — |
| Driver C | 0% | — | — |
| Driver D | 0% | — | — |
| Driver E | 0% | — | — |
Price history
Resolution rules
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 24, 2026. If the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Oct 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Oct 31, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on United States Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.