Mexican Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position Odds
This market has resolved: Lewis Hamilton. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Hamilton ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 91 |
| Pierre Gasly | 0% | — | ▼ 2 |
| Fernando Alonso | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Alexander Albon | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 0% | — | ▼ 2 |
| Sergio Perez | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Charles Leclerc | 0% | — | ▼ 24 |
| Esteban Ocon | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Lando Norris | 0% | — | ▼ 10 |
| Kimi Antonelli | 0% | — | ▼ 24 |
| Max Verstappen | 0% | — | ▼ 25 |
| Franco Colapinto | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 0% | — | ▼ 2 |
| Valtteri Bottas | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Oliver Bearman | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Oscar Piastri | 0% | — | ▼ 2 |
| George Russell | 0% | — | ▼ 7 |
| Arvid Lindblad | 0% | — | ▼ 2 |
| Isack Hadjar | 0% | — | ▼ 3 |
| Liam Lawson | 0% | — | ▼ 2 |
| Lance Stroll | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Yuki Tsunoda | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Other | 0% | — | — |
| Driver A | 0% | — | — |
| Driver B | 0% | — | — |
| Driver C | 0% | — | — |
| Driver D | 0% | — | — |
| Driver E | 0% | — | — |
Price history
Resolution rules
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 31, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Nov 7, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 7, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on Mexican Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.