AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16

Comeback Player of the Year Winner Odds · 2026-27 season

Kalshi traders give Patrick Mahomes a 56% chance.

Kalshi Volume $195K 24h $1.9K Ends Mar 23, 2027 Updated Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Patrick Mahomes
56% -130 ▲ 3
Malik Nabers
10% +900 ▼ 5
George Kittle
5% +2122 —
Fred Warner
5% +2122 ▼ 3
Travis Hunter
4% +2757 —
Joe Burrow
4% +2757 —
Tank Dell
4% +2757 ▲ 1
Michael Penix Jr.
3% +3900 —
Deshaun Watson
3% +3900 ▼ 1
Micah Parsons
2% +6567 —
Kirk Cousins
2% +6567 —
Kyler Murray
<1% +19900 —
Daniel Jones
<1% +19900 —
Nick Bosa
<1% +19900 —
Tucker Kraft
<1% +19900 —
Jonathon Brooks
<1% +19900 —
Tie/Co-Winners
<1% +19900 —
Aaron Donald
<1% +19900 —
Geno Smith
<1% +19900 —
Brock Bowers
<1% +19900 —
Cam Skattebo
<1% +19900 —

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Oct 17 Nov 8
Patrick MahomesMalik NabersGeorge KittleFred Warner

Resolution rules

If Patrick Mahomes wins the Pro Football AP Comeback Player of the Year in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

Who is favored in Comeback Player of the Year Winner?

As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Patrick Mahomes at 56%, about -130 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Mar 23, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on Comeback Player of the Year Winner?

This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.