College Basketball (M): #1 Ranked Team on Week 1 AP Poll Odds · #1 - Week 1 (2026-27)
This market has resolved: Florida. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida ✓ | 98% | -4900 | ▲ 13 |
| Illinois | 5% | +1900 | — |
| Kansas | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Duke | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 10 |
| Arizona | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Michigan | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Iowa St. | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Houston | 1% | +9900 | — |
| UConn | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Arkansas | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Michigan St. | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Louisville | 1% | +9900 | — |
Price history
Resolution rules
If Duke is ranked #1 on the 2026 Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 1 Rankings for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Dec 15, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on College Basketball (M): #1 Ranked Team on Week 1 AP Poll?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.