Brazil Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position Odds · Brazil Grand Prix
This market has resolved: Lando Norris. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lando Norris ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 81 |
| Oliver Bearman | 5% | +1900 | ▲ 5 |
| Lewis Hamilton | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 8 |
| Max Verstappen | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 30 |
| Valtteri Bottas | 1% | +9900 | ▲ 1 |
| Sergio Perez | 1% | +9900 | ▲ 1 |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 1% | +9900 | ▲ 1 |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | 1% | +9900 | ▲ 1 |
| Fernando Alonso | 1% | +9900 | ▲ 1 |
| Lance Stroll | 1% | +9900 | ▲ 1 |
| Pierre Gasly | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Charles Leclerc | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 7 |
| Alexander Albon | 1% | +9900 | ▲ 1 |
| George Russell | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 6 |
| Oscar Piastri | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 1 |
| Liam Lawson | 1% | +9900 | ▲ 1 |
| Franco Colapinto | 1% | +9900 | ▲ 1 |
| Isack Hadjar | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 1 |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Andrea Kimi Antonelli | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 37 |
| Arvid Lindblad | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Rafael Chaves Camara | 1% | +9900 | ▲ 1 |
| Ryo Hirakawa | 0% | — | — |
Price history
Resolution rules
If Lewis Hamilton set the fastest valid qualifying lap time in the Qualifying session (Q3) originally scheduled for November 7, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Brazil Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 8, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on Brazil Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.