Brazil Grand Prix Main Race: Biggest Mover Odds · Brazil Grand Prix (2026)
Kalshi traders give Max Verstappen a 64% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | 64% | -174 | ▲ 65 |
| Lewis Hamilton | 29% | +245 | ▲ 24 |
| Charles Leclerc | 4% | +2400 | ▲ 4 |
| Oscar Piastri | 3% | +3900 | ▲ 5 |
| Liam Lawson | 3% | +3900 | — |
| Oliver Bearman | 3% | +3900 | ▲ 5 |
| Franco Colapinto | 3% | +3900 | — |
| Arvid Lindblad | 3% | +3900 | — |
| Rafael Chaves Camara | 3% | +3900 | ▲ 2 |
| Sergio Perez | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Lance Stroll | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Pierre Gasly | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Lando Norris | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Alexander Albon | 2% | +6567 | — |
| George Russell | 2% | +6567 | ▼ 4 |
| Isack Hadjar | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Valtteri Bottas | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Fernando Alonso | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Andrea Kimi Antonelli | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Ryo Hirakawa | <1% | +19900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Lewis Hamilton has the largest positive differential between their starting grid position and their finishing position in the main race originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 at the 2026 Brazil Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Brazil Grand Prix Main Race: Biggest Mover?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Max Verstappen at 64%, about -174 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 8, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Brazil Grand Prix Main Race: Biggest Mover?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.