Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of November 21 Odds
Polymarket traders give FRESH - Lil Baby a 97% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| FRESH - Lil Baby | 97% | -2930 | ▼ 3 |
| you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love - Olivia Rodrigo | 3% | +2930 | ▲ 3 |
| Sweet Action II - Jack Harlow | <1% | +18082 | — |
| I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen | <1% | +18082 | — |
| The Black Parade - My Chemical Romance | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Perfecth - Queens of the Stone Age | <1% | +19900 | — |
| O My Beloved - Kings of Leon | <1% | +19900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of November 21, 2026”. Albums will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more albums are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the albums' listed titles. This market will resolve to the album that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of November 21?
As of Nov 11, 5:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price FRESH - Lil Baby at 97%, about -2930 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 17, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of November 21?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.